Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001120 0.001271 0.001423 0.001588 0.001760 0.001935 0.002126
2025-06-01 0.000850 0.001061 0.001283 0.001530 0.001796 0.002073 0.002380
2025-06-08 0.000669 0.000923 0.001200 0.001519 0.001869 0.002240 0.002659
2025-06-15 0.000568 0.000861 0.001191 0.001580 0.002016 0.002483 0.003016
2025-06-22 0.000434 0.000745 0.001110 0.001552 0.002058 0.002608 0.003242
2025-06-29 0.000344 0.000671 0.001071 0.001565 0.002141 0.002775 0.003512
2025-07-06 0.000313 0.000667 0.001111 0.001669 0.002326 0.003053 0.003903
2025-07-13 0.000231 0.000583 0.001047 0.001645 0.002359 0.003158 0.004100
2025-07-20 0.000151 0.000488 0.000960 0.001587 0.002348 0.003210 0.004234
2025-07-27 0.000119 0.000459 0.000956 0.001628 0.002452 0.003391 0.004511
2025-08-03 0.000077 0.000403 0.000911 0.001615 0.002489 0.003493 0.004697
2025-08-10 0.000031 0.000317 0.000816 0.001531 0.002437 0.003489 0.004761
2025-08-17 0.000005 0.000250 0.000752 0.001504 0.002475 0.003616 0.005005
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000174 0.000664 0.001439 0.002467 0.003689 0.005191
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000128 0.000613 0.001423 0.002517 0.003833 0.005459
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000111 0.000614 0.001479 0.002660 0.004087 0.005857
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000072 0.000559 0.001450 0.002691 0.004206 0.006097
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000050 0.000534 0.001462 0.002773 0.004386 0.006407
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000050 0.000566 0.001562 0.002972 0.004708 0.006885
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000027 0.000520 0.001537 0.003004 0.004825 0.007119
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000007 0.000457 0.001480 0.002990 0.004883 0.007282
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000003 0.000454 0.001520 0.003106 0.005101 0.007634
2025-10-26 NaN NaN 0.000421 0.001507 0.003148 0.005226 0.007874